Rupee down nearly 6% in 2026, further weakening possible: Axis Bank

The rupee may need further depreciation to address trade shocks. Its real effective exchange rate has fallen to a 2013 taper tantrum level. Economists suggest a potential 10% weakening of the REER within a year. Global trends and domestic rates might be misaligned, causing currency pressure. The Reserve Bank of India has sold significant dollars to support the rupee.

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