India’s fiscal deficit seen rising to 4.98% if economic growth slips

India’s fiscal deficit calculations for FY25 might be impacted by a lower-than-expected economic growth forecast of 9.6%. Lower nominal GDP could result in a slight increase in the fiscal deficit ratio to 4.98%. However, higher-than-budgeted tax collections and reduced capital expenditures might help achieve a lower fiscal deficit of 4.65%.

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