Inflation could breach RBI's 6% upper band in 2nd half of FY 2026-27 as El Nino meets geopolitical stress: Report

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Inflation in India has a high probability of shooting through RBI targets in 2H27, with a potential spike beyond the 6% upper band, Prabhudas Lilladher said, as El Nino combines with geopolitical supply-chain disruptions to pressure food and input prices. The brokerage flagged deficient monsoons, low reservoir levels and elevated crude-linked costs as key risks ahead.

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Inflation could breach RBI's 6% upper band in 2nd half of FY 2026-27 as El Nino meets geopolitical stress: Report

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