Geopolitical flare-ups, AI crash, tariff shocks to dampen India’s air travel demand in FY26, ICRA says

India’s air travel demand is projected to see modest growth of 4-6% in FY26 due to external shocks like geopolitical escalations and trade headwinds. Despite this, international passenger traffic for Indian carriers is expected to surge by 13-15%, driven by stronger overseas route momentum.

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